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The causal link between benchmark crude oil and the U.S. Dollar Value: in rising and falling oil markets

  • Aqueela Ahmed

    Research output: Contribution to conferencePaperpeer-review

    91 Downloads (Pure)

    Abstract

    This paper researches the link between benchmark crude oil prices and the U.S. dollar exchange rate, in rising, stable and falling oil markets. The methods used to explore the relationship in various markets were cointegration testing and Granger causality tests. The method allows the author to analyse the link in the short run and long run. The results found that in the long run a relationship does exist between oil prices and U.S. dollar exchange rate in stable markets. In rising and falling markets there is no long run relationship. The study did find evidence of a short relationship in rising, stable and falling oil markets
    Original languageEnglish
    Publication statusPublished - 2015
    Event5th ELAEE/IAEE Latin American Conference: Energy Outlook in Latin America and the Caribbean: Challenges, Constraints and Opportunities - Medellin, Colombia
    Duration: 16 Mar 201518 Mar 2015

    Conference

    Conference5th ELAEE/IAEE Latin American Conference
    Country/TerritoryColombia
    CityMedellin
    Period16/03/1518/03/15

    Bibliographical note

    The paper was given at the 5th ELAEE/IAEE Latin American Conference - Energy Outlook in Latin America and the Caribbean: Challenges, Constraints and Opportunities, Medellin, Colombia 2015

    Keywords

    • oil price
    • U.S. dollar
    • Granger causality
    • cointegration

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