Abstract
Abstract: We examine the short-term price behavior of ten Asian stock market indexes following large price changes or "shocks". Under the standard OLS regression, there is stronger support for return continuations particularly following positive and negative price shocks of less than 10% in absolute size. The results under the GJR-GARCH method provide stronger support for market efficiency, especially for large price shocks. For example, for the Hong Kong stock index, negative shocks of less than - 5% but more than - 10% generate a significant one day cumulative abnormal return (CAR) of - 0.754% under the OLS method, but an insignificant CAR of 0.022% under the GJR-GARCH. We find no support for the uncertainty information hypothesis. Furthermore, the CARs following the period after the Asian financial crisis adjust more quickly to price shocks. © 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 444-459 |
Number of pages | 16 |
Journal | Pacific Basin Finance Journal |
Volume | 17 |
Issue number | 4 |
Early online date | 17 Nov 2008 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Sept 2009 |
Externally published | Yes |
Keywords
- Heteroscedasticity
- Market efficiency
- Overreaction
- Return continuations
- Uncertainty information hypothesis