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Simulating optimal vaccination times during cholera outbreaks

  • Chairat Modnak
  • , Jin Wang
  • , Zindoga Mukandavire
  • Naresuan University
  • Old Dominion University
  • London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

The use of cholera vaccines has been increasingly recognized as an effective control measure in cholera endemic countries. However, guidelines for using vaccination during cholera outbreaks are still to be established, and it remains an open question as to how and when the vaccines should be deployed to best control ongoing cholera outbreaks. Here we formulate a new optimal control model to assess the value of cholera vaccines in epidemic settings and cost-effective optimal times to deploy a vaccine. Our results suggest that as long as the vaccine prices are sufficiently low, vaccination should always start from or immediately after the onset of a cholera outbreak.

Original languageEnglish
Article number1450014
JournalInternational Journal of Biomathematics
Volume7
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 21 Feb 2014
Externally publishedYes

Funding

J. Wang acknowledges partial support from the National Science Foundation under Grant Nos. 0813691 and 1216936. Z. Mukandavire was supported by the UF Science for Life Program, an interdisciplinary program with support from the Howard Hughes Medical Institute. The authors would like to thank the anonymous referees for helpful comments.

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

Keywords

  • Cholera epidemics
  • optimal control
  • vaccination

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Modelling and Simulation
  • Applied Mathematics

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