Risk prediction of new energy vehicle based on dynamic-static feature fusion

  • Xiang Zhang
  • , Xiaoxuan Yin
  • , Shubing Huang
  • , Ge Zhang
  • , Chongming Wang

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

To support the goals of low-carbon and sustainable development, new energy vehicles (NEVs) are being increasingly adopted. However, the frequency of traffic accidents involving NEVs also shows a rising trend. To address this challenge, this paper proposes an accident risk prediction method for new energy vehicles based on dynamic-static feature fusion. First, direct and indirect data strongly related to accident risk are extracted from the full-year accident data of a province in 2021, including environmental factors (weather and road type), dynamic operating data (speed), vehicle alarm status, and historical accident characteristics. Then, to quantify and capture the potential risk characteristics of the vehicle, LSTM layers are used to construct dynamic and static feature vectors representing vehicle accident risk. Moreover, the accident risk probability is calculated based on fully connected layers and the sigmoid activation function. Finally, the proposed accident risk prediction model is tested and validated with real accident data. The results show that the model achieves a prediction accuracy of 85% for new energy vehicle accidents, which is a 24% improvement over traditional models based on weather and road types. The model can timely warn drivers before accidents occur, helping them take necessary safety measures to reduce accident probability.
Original languageEnglish
Article number1649853
Number of pages13
JournalFrontiers in Sustainable Cities
Volume7
Early online date25 Aug 2025
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 25 Aug 2025

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
Copyright © 2025 Zhang, Yin, Huang, Zhang and Wang.
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative
Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
Under this licence, users are permitted to share, download, copy, and redistribute the material in any medium or format, and—where applicable—adapt or build upon the work, provided they comply with the conditions of the stated licence

Funding

The author(s) declare that financial support was received for the research and/or publication of this article. This research was funded by National Key R&D Program of China, grant number 2022YFE0207800.

FundersFunder number
National Key Research and Development Program of China2022YFE0207800

    UN SDGs

    This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

    1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
      SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

    Keywords

    • new energy vehicle
    • accident risk prediction
    • dynamic-static feature fusion
    • traffic safety
    • long short-term memory

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