Reduction of the value of information sharing as demand becomes strongly auto-correlated

M.Z. Babai, J.E. Boylan, A.A. Syntetos, Mohammad M. Ali

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    27 Citations (Scopus)
    52 Downloads (Pure)


    Information sharing has been identified, in the academic literature, as one of the most important levers to mitigate the bullwhip effect in supply chains. A highly-cited article on the bullwhip effect has claimed that the percentage inventory reduction resulting from information sharing in a two level supply chain, when the downstream demand is autoregressive of order one, is an increasing function of the autoregressive parameter of the demand. In this paper we show that this is true only for a certain range of the autoregressive parameter and there is a maximum value beyond which the bullwhip ratio at the upstream stage is reduced and the percentage inventory reduction resulting from information sharing decreases towards zero. We also show that this maximum value of the autoregressive parameter can be as high as 0.7 which represents a common value that may be encountered in many practical contexts. This means that large benefits of information sharing cannot be assumed for those Stock Keeping Units (SKUs) with highly positively auto-correlated demand. Instead, equally careful analysis is needed for these items as for those SKUs with less strongly auto-correlated demand.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)130-135
    JournalInternational Journal of Production Economics
    Issue numberA
    Early online date12 May 2015
    Publication statusPublished - Nov 2016

    Bibliographical note

    NOTICE: this is the author’s version of a work that was accepted for publication in International Journal of Production Economics. Changes resulting from the publishing process, such as peer review, editing, corrections, structural formatting, and other quality control mechanisms may not be reflected in this document. Changes may have been made to this work since it was submitted for publication. A definitive version was subsequently published in International Journal of Production Economics, [VOL 181, ISSUE A, (2015)] DOI: 10.1016/j.ijpe.2015.05.005

    © 2015, Elsevier. Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International


    • Supply chain
    • Bullwhip effect
    • Information sharing
    • Autoregressive demand


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