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Pricing of foreign exchange rate and interest rate risks using short to long horizon returns

  • Nathan Joseph
  • , Chen Su
  • , Winifred Huang
  • , Baoying Lai
    • Newcastle University
    • University of Bath
    • University of East London

    Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

    191 Downloads (Pure)

    Abstract

    In this paper, we test whether foreign exchange (FX) rate and interest rate (IR) risks are priced at short to long return horizons. We also test whether the associated risk premia relate to certain stock characteristics. Our new evidence indicates that risk premia increase with the length of the return horizon and that the risk premium signs depend on the sign of the corresponding exposure beta. Thus, for our longest return horizon of 950 days, positive (negative) FX rate premia increase in absolute value to 2.642% (–2.050%), whereas positive (negative) IR premia increase to 1.039% (–1.151%). Zero exposure betas have zero risk premia. We find that, depending on the level of profitability, Size, book-to-market-ratio (B/M) and sales-to-stock price ratio (S/P) explain most of the variation in exposure betas and risk premia. Our results imply that investors view exposure betas and risk premia as important factors affecting portfolio returns.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)1684-1713
    Number of pages30
    JournalThe European Journal of Finance
    Volume27
    Issue number17
    Early online date24 May 2021
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 22 Nov 2021

    Keywords

    • Foreign exchange rate risk premia
    • Interest rate risk premia
    • Short to long horizon returns
    • Stock characteristics

    ASJC Scopus subject areas

    • Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)

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