Monitoring exchange rate instability in 12 selected Islamic economies

Mohamed Ariff, Alireza Zarei, M. Ishaq Bhatti

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)
53 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Exchange rate instability has become a key concern within economic policy circles ever since the 1973 breakdown of Bretton Woods agreement; after 47 years, central bankers realize the deleterious effect of exchange rate on the economy in the 12 selected OIC member countries we studied. The aim of this paper is to report the findings on a proposed measure of currency instability, namely the relative volatility, to test it with data relating to 12 OIC member Muslim-majority economies using more than 28 years data. We find that relative volatility is an effective measure for tracking currency instability and exchange rate targeting could be enhanced by including policy bands as well as recommended actions for each movement outside the policy band. Further, relative volatility is significantly correlated with monetary factors suggested by strong theories that drive the exchange rate equilibrium.
Original languageEnglish
Article number100517
Number of pages10
JournalJournal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance
Volume31
Early online date17 May 2021
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Sept 2021

Bibliographical note

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Funder

Funding Information:
This research received national financial grant from the FRGS of Malaysia FRGS 2020–1 at the University Putra Malaysia where the two authors worked at the time of the award. Later in 2019, an internal financial grant was approved by the Sunway University, Malaysia . We are grateful for the financial support and acknowledge the two sources with gratitude. This paper was presented and received useful comments, addressed in the current revised version of the paper, presented at the 21 MFA conference, Minhaj University’s 3rd WIEF conference 2020 and 11th Foundation of Islamic Finance conference at Sunway University March 2021. For any errors, the authors are responsible.

Keywords

  • Currency stability
  • Volatility
  • Relative volatility
  • Country risk
  • Monetary factors
  • Exchange rate index

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