@article{05d58941814e48b8b7ab3cedfd5fcda0,
title = "Identifying the Occurrence Time of the Destructive Kahramanmara{\c s}-Gazientep Earthquake of Magnitude M7.8 in Turkey on 6 February 2023",
abstract = "Here, we employ natural time analysis of seismicity together with non-extensive statistical mechanics aiming at shortening the occurrence time window of the Kahramanmara{\c s}-Gazientep M7.8 earthquake. The results obtained are in the positive direction pointing to the fact that after 3 February 2023 at 11:05:58 UTC, a strong earthquake was imminent. Natural time analysis also reveals a minimum fluctuation of the order parameter of seismicity almost three and a half months before the M7.8 earthquake, pointing to the initiation of seismic electrical activity. Moreover, before this earthquake occurrence, the detrended fluctuation analysis of the earthquake magnitude time-series reveals random behavior. Finally, when applying earthquake nowcasting, we find average earthquake potential score values which are compatible with those previously observed before strong (M≥7.1) earthquakes. The results obtained may improve our understanding of the physics of crustal phenomena that lead to strong earthquakes.",
keywords = "complex systems, criticality, earthquakes, entropy, natural time, time-series",
author = "Sarlis, \{Nicholas V.\} and Skordas, \{Efthimios S.\} and Christopoulos, \{Stavros-Richard G.\} and Varotsos, \{Panayiotis K.\}",
note = "{\textcopyright} 2024 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).",
year = "2024",
month = jan,
day = "31",
doi = "10.3390/app14031215",
language = "English",
volume = "14",
journal = "Applied Sciences",
issn = "2076-3417",
publisher = "Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute",
number = "3",
}