Does Size Matter in Predicting SMEs Failure?

Jayraj Gupta, Mariachiara Barzotto, Amir Khorasgani

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

4 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This study acknowledges the diversity between micro, small, and medium‐sized firms while predicting bankruptcy and financial distress of the United States small and medium‐sized enterprises. Empirical findings suggest that survival (failure) probability increases (decreases) with increasing firm size and firms in different size categories have varying determinants of bankruptcy, whereas factors affecting their financial distress are mostly invariant. Magnitude of significant covariates changes across the size categories of both bankrupt and financially distressed firms. Further, operating cash flow information does not add any marginal increment in prediction performance of multivariate hazard models above baseline models developed using information from income statements and balance sheets. This result holds for failure likelihood of small and medium‐sized enterprises and their respective size categories
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)571-605
Number of pages35
JournalInternational Journal of Finance and Economics
Volume23
Early online date25 Jul 2018
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Oct 2018

Keywords

  • Bankruptcy
  • Financial distress
  • Operating cash flow
  • SMEs
  • Survival analysis

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