Do non-communicable diseases influence sustainable development in Sub-Saharan Africa? A panel autoregressive distributive lag model approach

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Abstract

The burden of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in Sub-Saharan Africa has been on the surge during the last two decades. This study examines the relationship between NCDs, measured by disability adjusted life years (DALYs), and sustainable development in Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries. We adopt a panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag model to evaluate the association between NCDs and sustainability of development, alternately measured by adjusted net savings and gross domestic savings, in 24 SSA countries, from 1990 to 2017. The results show that NCDs adversely affect sustainable development in the long run. The findings demonstrate an urgent need to mitigate the rapidly rising burden of NCDs. We argue that reducing the current trend of NCDs in the sub-region is necessary for countries to be on a sustainable development trajectory.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)337-348
Number of pages12
JournalHealth Policy and Planning
Volume37
Issue number3
Early online date28 Oct 2021
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2022

Bibliographical note

This is a pre-copyedited, author-produced version of an article accepted for publication in Health Policy and Planning following peer review. The version of record Kabajulizi, J & Darko, FA 2022, 'Do non-communicable diseases influence sustainable development in Sub-Saharan Africa? A panel autoregressive distributive lag model approach', Health Policy and Planning, vol. 37, no. 3, pp. 337-348. is available online at: https://dx.doi.org/10.1093/heapol/czab131

Copyright © and Moral Rights are retained by the author(s) and/ or other copyright owners. A copy can be downloaded for personal non-commercial research or study, without prior permission or charge. This item cannot be reproduced or quoted extensively from without first obtaining permission in writing from the copyright holder(s). The content must not be changed in any way or sold commercially in any format or medium without the formal permission of the copyright holders.

Keywords

  • Non-communicable diseases,
  • disability-adjusted life years,
  • sustainable development
  • adjusted net savings
  • panel ARDL
  • Sub-Saharan Africa

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