TY - JOUR
T1 - COVID-19
T2 - The Vaccination Program and Its Influence on Air Travel Demand in the U.S.A
AU - Fernandes, David Ricardo Cecanecchia
AU - Falcão, Viviane Adriano
AU - Silva, Carlos Fabricio Assunção da
AU - da Silva, Francisco Gildemir Ferreira
AU - Fernandes, Luiz Henrique Cecanecchia
PY - 2023/8/31
Y1 - 2023/8/31
N2 - Aviation was one of the sectors most affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. Therefore, this study aims to estimate the return of civil aviation in the U.S.A. after the start of the immunization campaign to combat the pandemic. The research is based on vaccination records after immunization started. First, we applied an ordinary least squares regression, which considers the sum of aircraft arrivals and landings as a dependent variable and the number of vaccine doses administered to the U.S. population as an independent variable. In addition, we examined the effect of the start of the COVID-19 pandemic and then the vaccination program on total aircraft movements. Finally, a regression analysis with a correction for heteroscedasticity was conducted, using the variables previously mentioned. We observed that the vaccination program was necessary to help the aviation sector recover enough in the U.S.A. to achieve the minimum number of operations that had taken place in 2019 at U.S. airports.
AB - Aviation was one of the sectors most affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. Therefore, this study aims to estimate the return of civil aviation in the U.S.A. after the start of the immunization campaign to combat the pandemic. The research is based on vaccination records after immunization started. First, we applied an ordinary least squares regression, which considers the sum of aircraft arrivals and landings as a dependent variable and the number of vaccine doses administered to the U.S. population as an independent variable. In addition, we examined the effect of the start of the COVID-19 pandemic and then the vaccination program on total aircraft movements. Finally, a regression analysis with a correction for heteroscedasticity was conducted, using the variables previously mentioned. We observed that the vaccination program was necessary to help the aviation sector recover enough in the U.S.A. to achieve the minimum number of operations that had taken place in 2019 at U.S. airports.
KW - aviation system planning
KW - airport systems
KW - air cargo
KW - airlines
KW - aviation economics
KW - aviation forecasting
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85170092603&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1177/03611981231193609
DO - 10.1177/03611981231193609
M3 - Article
SN - 0361-1981
VL - (In-Press)
SP - (In-Press)
JO - Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board
JF - Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board
ER -
