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Abstract

INTRODUCTION: Heart failure (HF) is a complex clinical syndrome. Accurate risk stratification and early diagnosis of HF are challenging as its signs and symptoms are non-specific. We propose to address this global challenge by developing the STRATIFYHF artificial intelligence-driven decision support system (DSS), which uses novel analytical methods in determining the risk, diagnosis and prognosis of HF. The primary aim of the present study is to collect prospective clinical data to validate the STRATIFYHF DSS (in terms of diagnostic accuracy, sensitivity and specificity) as a tool to predict the risk, diagnosis and progression of HF. The secondary outcomes are the demographic and clinical predictors of risk, diagnosis and progression of HF.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS: STRATIFYHF is a prospective, multicentre, longitudinal study that will recruit up to 1600 individuals (n=800 suspected/at risk of HF and n=800 diagnosed with HF) aged ≥45 years old, with up to 24 months of follow-up observations. Individuals suspected of HF will be divided into two categories based on current definitions and predefined inclusion criteria. All participants will have their medical history recorded, along with data on physical examination (signs and symptoms), blood tests including serum natriuretic peptides levels, ECG and echocardiogram results, as well as demographic, socioeconomic and lifestyle data, and use of complete novel technologies (cardiac output response to stress test and voice recognition biomarkers). All measurements will be recorded at baseline and at 12-month follow-up, with medical history and hospitalisation also recorded at 24-month follow-up. Cardiovascular MRI assessment will be completed in a subset of participants (n=20-40) from eligible clinical centres only at baseline. Each clinical centre will recruit a subset of participants (n=30) who will complete a 6-month home-based monitoring of clinical characteristics and accelerometry (wrist-worn monitor) to determine the feasibility and acceptability of the STRATIFYHF mobile application. Focus groups and semistructured interviews will be conducted with up to 15 healthcare professionals and up to 20 study participants (10 at risk of HF and 10 diagnosed with HF) to explore the needs of patients and healthcare professionals prior to the development of the STRATIFYHF DSS and to evaluate the acceptability of this mobile application.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical approval has been granted by the East Midlands - Leicester Central Research Ethics Committee (24/EM/0101). Dissemination activities will include journal publications and presentations at conferences, as well as development of training materials and delivery of focused training on the STRATIFYHF DSS and mobile application. We will develop and propose policy guidelines for integration of the STRATIFYHF DSS and mobile application into the standard of care in the HF care pathway.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT06377319.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere091793
Number of pages9
JournalBMJ Open
Volume15
Issue number1
Early online date7 Jan 2025
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 7 Jan 2025

Bibliographical note

© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2025. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.

Funding

The study received funding from the European Union’s Horizon Europe research and innovation programme under grant agreement number 101080905, under the legal agreement as per STRATIFYHF SERI N° 23.00202 with the Federal Department of Economic Affairs, Education and Research (EAER), State Secretariat for Education, Research and Innovation (SERI), and Finance Research and Innovation/European Framework Programmes, for Suisse Confederation and UK Research and Innovation grant award with reference number 10073472. The funders have no role/influence in the design of the study, prospective data collection, analyses, interpretation of data and drafting of the manuscript.

FundersFunder number
Horizon Europe101080905, 23.00202
UK Research and Innovation10073472

    Keywords

    • Aged
    • Female
    • Humans
    • Male
    • Middle Aged
    • Artificial Intelligence
    • Decision Support Systems, Clinical
    • Heart Failure/diagnosis
    • Longitudinal Studies
    • Multicenter Studies as Topic
    • Prognosis
    • Prospective Studies
    • Risk Assessment/methods
    • Observational Studies as Topic
    • Validation Studies as Topic

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