A Policy Intervention Evaluation Framework for Electric Vehicle Technology Development

Fatih Ozel, Huw Davies

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

Abstract

There appears to be increasing policy emphasis globally on supporting the development of electric vehicle (EV) technologies linked to industrial growth. The key reason for this is that the electrification of the vehicle drivetrain offers a viable solution for the sustainability requirements of the transport sector and to achieve emission reduction targets. However, different countries use different innovation policies to support the local development of EV technologies and domestic EV industry. To support national governments in making informed decisions, this paper seeks to develop a framework providing an ex-ante impact of various innovation decisions. This framework is based on “adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system” (ANFIS). The necessary data for ANFIS framework is generated by analysing EV innovation policies of United States, Japan, European Union, Germany, France and United Kingdom and comparing them with the actual EV technology development that is measured by patent filings on those regions. Next, an ANFIS model has been constructed by specifying an equation and transforming the generated dataset into input-output data pairs. Finally, the data pairs are used for training and validating the ANFIS framework by using MATLAB software. The training results indicate that such framework can be applied for evaluating current EV innovation policies and predicting the future technology development with the introduced set of inputs owing to ANFIS`s backward and forward-pass mechanism.
Original languageEnglish
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2014
EventEuropean Electric Vehicle Congress (EEVC2014) - Brussels, Belgium
Duration: 3 Dec 20145 Dec 2014
http://www.egvi.eu/calendar/53/46/European-Electric-Vehicle-Congress-EEVC-2014 (Link to conference website)

Conference

ConferenceEuropean Electric Vehicle Congress (EEVC2014)
Abbreviated titleEEVC2014
CountryBelgium
CityBrussels
Period3/12/145/12/14
Internet address

Fingerprint

Electric vehicles
Fuzzy inference
Innovation
MATLAB
Sustainable development
Decision making
Industry

Keywords

  • Electric Vehicle, Public Policy, Technology Development, International Policy Review, ANFIS-Based Modelling

Cite this

Ozel, F., & Davies, H. (2014). A Policy Intervention Evaluation Framework for Electric Vehicle Technology Development. Paper presented at European Electric Vehicle Congress (EEVC2014), Brussels, Belgium.

A Policy Intervention Evaluation Framework for Electric Vehicle Technology Development. / Ozel, Fatih; Davies, Huw.

2014. Paper presented at European Electric Vehicle Congress (EEVC2014), Brussels, Belgium.

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

Ozel, F & Davies, H 2014, 'A Policy Intervention Evaluation Framework for Electric Vehicle Technology Development' Paper presented at European Electric Vehicle Congress (EEVC2014), Brussels, Belgium, 3/12/14 - 5/12/14, .
Ozel F, Davies H. A Policy Intervention Evaluation Framework for Electric Vehicle Technology Development. 2014. Paper presented at European Electric Vehicle Congress (EEVC2014), Brussels, Belgium.
Ozel, Fatih ; Davies, Huw. / A Policy Intervention Evaluation Framework for Electric Vehicle Technology Development. Paper presented at European Electric Vehicle Congress (EEVC2014), Brussels, Belgium.
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