Royal Society APEX Award: Foreseeing Management of Emerging Unprecedented Hydroclimatic Extremes to Embrace Resilience in Sub-Saharan African Communities

Project: Research

Project Details

Description

Many countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), especially Uganda, are increasingly exposed to the emergence of unprecedented hydroclimatic extremes (flood and drought), raising challenges for water and food security.

Yet, existing risk-management strategies are based on past/present understanding of changing conditions and their potential controlling factors. Therefore, they crucially lack evidence of future changes affecting the intensity, duration, and frequency of hydroclimatic extremes. Equally, while Nature-based Solutions (NbS), which involve modifying the landscape to reduce climate risk, gain traction in the Global North, their
applications are limited in SSA. Very little is known about: i) the potential consequences of NbS applications on local communities that may depend on the resources offered by their landscapes; ii) the sustainability of NbS performances in a changing climate.

It is, therefore, critical to co-develop a comprehensive interdisciplinary framework for integrating future hydroclimatic risks and socio-ecological equity into adaptation planning in Uganda. In collaboration with regional stakeholders and academics, the project team, thus, combines expertise across climate sciences, physical modelling of water systems, as well as ecological, economic, and social resilience of communities to:
i) identify plausible emerging hydroclimatic risks in the 21st century by developing novel regional climate scenarios;
ii) identify socio-ecological benefits and limitations of NbS by embracing participatory approaches;
iii) assess the sustainability of NbS performances in a changing climate by informing physical modelling experiments with climate and adaptative land use scenarios.

This project thus ultimately aims to improve decision-making, planning, and implementation processes that support sustainable and equitable management of hydroclimatic risks.
StatusActive
Effective start/end date1/10/2430/09/26

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