Personal profile

Vision Statement

I am a climate scientist with an interest in understanding the influence of climate variability and anthropogenic climate change on rainfall at the regional scale.  The response of the hydrological cycle to a warmer world is not uniform and the impact on the magnitude of rainfall and the frequency of extreme events has substantial regional variability.  I have a particular expertise in statistical post-processing and downscaling techniques for climate model output, specifically for climate extremes.  Such techniques provide an important basis for providing reliable climate information at spatial scales that are relevant to stakeholders. 


With an academic background in applied meteorology and climatology, Jonathan Eden completed his PhD in climate science at the University of Birmingham.  His PhD research involved the development of a statistical correction for precipitation simulated by global climate models with the aim of producing better estimates for future rainfall changes at small spatial scales.  He expanded upon this research with emphasis on extreme rainfall during a subsequent postdoctoral position 

Seeking a new challenge and with a desire to work abroad, Jonathan joined the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) as a postdoctoral researcher in 2014.  Within the Weather and Climate Model Research and Development department, he worked primarily on two EU-funded projects in the fields of seasonal forecasting and the extreme event attribution, working alongside multiple partners at other leading meteorological research institutes.

Jonathan returned to the UK to join CAWR as a Research Fellow in June 2017.

Education / Academic qualification

Doctorate, University of Birmingham

Oct 2007Apr 2011

External positions

Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI)

May 2014Jun 2017

University of Birmingham

Apr 2011Mar 2014

Fingerprint Fingerprint is based on mining the text of the person's scientific documents to create an index of weighted terms, which defines the key subjects of each individual researcher.

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Research Output 2011 2017

2 Citations

An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts

Suckling, E. B., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Eden, J. M. & Hawkins, E. May 2017 In : Climate Dynamics. 48, 9-10, p. 3115-3138 24 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
temperature anomaly
greenhouse gas
surface temperature
sea surface temperature

Extreme precipitation in the Netherlands: An event attribution case study

Eden, J. M., Bellprat, O., Kew, S., Lenderink, G., Manola, I., Omrani, H. & van Oldenborgh, G. J. Jun 2017 In : Climate Dynamics.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

1 Citations

Multi-method attribution analysis of extreme precipitation in Boulder, Colorado

Eden, J. M., Wolter, K., Otto, F. E. L. & Jan Van Oldenborgh, G. 29 Nov 2016 In : Environmental Research Letters. 11, 12, 124009

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Open Access
Climate change
extreme event

Multi-method attribution analysis of extreme precipitation in Boulder, Colorado

Eden, J. M., van Oldenborgh, G. J. & Otto, F. E. L. 2016

Research output: Contribution to conferenceAbstract

10 Citations

The attribution question

Otto, F. E. L., Van Oldenborgh, G. J., Eden, J. M., Stott, P. A., Karoly, D. J. & Allen, M. R. 25 Aug 2016 In : Nature Climate Change. 6, 9, p. 813-816 4 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/debate

extreme event
atmospheric circulation

Activities 2009 2017

  • 21 Participation in conference
  • 7 Publication peer-review
  • 5 Participation in workshop, seminar, course
  • 2 Invited talk

Nature Geoscience (Journal)

Eden, J. (Peer Reviewer)
2017 → …

Activity: Publication peer-review

13th International Meeting on Statistical Climatology

Eden, J. (Speaker)
6 Jun 201610 Jun 2016

Activity: Participation in conference

EGU Geneal Assembly 2016

Eden, J. (Speaker)
17 Apr 201622 Apr 2016

Activity: Participation in conference

EUCLEIA 3rd General Assembly

Eden, J. (Speaker)
29 Nov 20161 Dec 2016

Activity: Participation in conference