The Cyclicality of the Finance Premium Over the Business Cycle Economic Modelling

This paper examines the main determinants of the cyclicality of the finance premium in the cost channel framework, which has received less attention in the literature. We decompose the finance premium into a cost effect and a leverage effect. We show that in both the cost channel model and the credit channel model (Bernanke, Gertler and Gilchrist 1999), the cyclicality of the finance premium is determined mainly by the size and sign of the leverage effect. Some key factors that determine the leverage effect are, the nature of shocks, the degree of loan persistence in relation to output or net worth, and the stance of monetary policy. Here you will also find the manuscript of the paper, the codes and the Technical Appendix